| Target | Long-Term Expected | |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Allocation | Real Rate of Return |
| Domestic Equity | 18.60 % | 4.10 % |
| Non-US Equity | 12.40 | 4.90 |
| Private Markets | 10.00 | 7.30 |
| Core Fixed Income * | 25.00 | 2.40 |
| High Yield Fixed Income | 7.00 | 4.10 |
| Private Credit | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| U.S. Inflation Linked Bonds* | 15.00 | 2.10 |
| Midstream Energy Infrastructure | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| Real Assets | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| Gold | 5.00 | 3.50 |
| Private Real Estate | 12.00 | 5.40 |
| Commodities | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| Total | 125.00 % |
Note: Assumptions are geometric.
* levered 2.0x
OP&F’s Board of Trustees has incorporated the risk parity concept into OP&F’s asset liability valuation with the goal of reducing equity risk exposure, which reduces overall Total Portfolio risk without sacrificing return and creating a more risk-balanced portfolio based on the relationship between asset classes and economic environments. From the notional portfolio perspective above, the Total Portfolio may be levered up to 1.25 times due to the application of leverage in certain fixed income asset classes.
Discount Rate
Total OPEB liability was calculated using the discount rate of 4.07 percent. The projection of cash flows used to determine the discount rate assumed the contributions from employers and from members would be computed based on contribution requirements as stipulated by state statute. Projected inflows from investment earnings were calculated using the longer-term assumed investment rate of return 7.5 percent. Based on those assumptions, OP&F’s fiduciary net position was projected to not be able to make all future benefit payment of current plan members. Therefore, the long-term assumed rate of return on investments of 7.5 percent was applied to periods before December 31, 2037, and the Municipal Bond Index Rate of 3.38 percent was applied to periods on and after December 31, 2037, resulting in a discount rate of 4.07 percent.
Sensitivity of the Proportionate Share of the Net OPEB Liability to Changes in the Discount Rate
Net OPEB liability is sensitive to changes in the discount rate, and to illustrate the potential impact the following table presents the net OPEB liability calculated using the discount rate of 4.07 percent, as well as what the net OPEB liability would be if it were calculated using a discount rate that is one percentage point lower (3.07 percent), or one percentage point higher (5.07 percent) than the current rate.
| Current | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1% Decrease | Discount Rate | 1% Increase | |
| (3.07%) | (4.07%) | (5.07%) | |
| Proportionate share of the net OPEB liability | $1,073,042 | $871,172 | $701,157 |